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AI CapEx Has A Fed Problem (SP500)

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Summary The AI buildout is driving historic CapEx increases among hyperscalers, notably impacting bond markets and reducing big tech buybacks.

AI CapEx Has A Fed Problem (SP500)

Home Market Outlook Today's Market Summary The AI buildout is driving historic CapEx increases among hyperscalers, notably impacting bond markets and reducing big tech buybacks. Federal Reserve officials now cite surging AI CapEx as a contributor to persistent inflation, with expectations for annual spending to reach ~$1.2T by 2028. Rate hikes are the Fed’s only tool, but deliberate tightening may not curb hyperscaler CapEx or meaningfully weaken robust labor markets.

Hyperscalers like Alphabet remain cash-rich, financing CapEx strategically amid soaring cloud revenue and massive backlogs exceeding annual spend. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images News Regular readers will know that I've styled myself as “ the lone bull in the china shop ” this year, largely off the back of the shifts in hyperscaler capital expenditures, what we're colloquially calling the “AI buildout.” I'm a 10.56K Followers Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of S&P 500, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, META either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions.

I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank.

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Source: Seeking Alpha

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